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Total Shots Ratio) Otherwise known as Corsi in hockey. This looks at a teams share of the total (missed/blocked/on target) shots count. shots for / total shots (shots f + shots a)
SoTR (shots On Target Ratio) This looks at a teams share of the shots on target count. shots on target f / total shots on target
Fenwick/Unblocked Shots Ratio This looks at a teams share of the shots count with all blocked shots removed. missed shots f + shots on target f / total missed shots + total shots on target
PDO Scoring% (goals/shots on target) + Save % (100-goals against/shots on target against)
Week 35 (Sortable Tables)
All tables set to Close Game State.
TSR
City and Chelsea.
--GAP--
Southampton and Tottenham (hampered by PDO issues)
--GAP--
The rest.
It doesn't matter which way we slice Liverpool's TSR info, it just reminds us of Man United last season. We adjust Liverpool's info and look at Tied, better but still trailing. At Close they are fifth. We adjust for all the time spent winning, 5th. The #greetingsBrendan magic lies elsewhere.
Palace, despite the points progress, have declining shots fundamentals. Also, look at Man United's Tied shots ratio. A sackable offence to turn that team into subpar shots team.
Pos | TSR/Corsi | Tied | Close | Total | Score Adj |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Man City | 68.10 | 64.29 | 63.81 | 64.85 |
2 | Chelsea | 66.28 | 64.05 | 64.09 | 64.04 |
8 | Southampton | 57.34 | 60.06 | 59.31 | 57.49 |
6 | Tottenham | 61.50 | 60.05 | 59.01 | 57.84 |
1 | Liverpool | 63.72 | 56.81 | 56.53 | 56.37 |
4 | Arsenal | 59.55 | 56.62 | 52.9 | 53.54 |
9 | Newcastle | 59.39 | 55.98 | 55.59 | 55.04 |
5 | Everton | 54.05 | 54.86 | 54.13 | 55.32 |
7 | Man United | 48.24 | 52.85 | 52.12 | 51.05 |
13 | Swansea | 46.62 | 49.53 | 51.67 | 49.93 |
16 | West Brom | 42.93 | 48.39 | 48.86 | 45.34 |
17 | Norwich | 48.00 | 46.62 | 45.53 | 45.86 |
14 | Hull | 43.86 | 45.72 | 44.73 | 45.94 |
15 | Aston Villa | 43.92 | 45.30 | 47.03 | 46.06 |
11 | Palace | 42.50 | 44.31 | 45.09 | 45.18 |
10 | Stoke | 44.57 | 42.88 | 42.6 | 43.21 |
20 | Sunderland | 43.86 | 41.04 | 42.34 | 40.99 |
12 | West Ham | 40.27 | 40.67 | 38.61 | 40.4 |
19 | Fulham | 39.76 | 38.43 | 39.44 | 41.32 |
18 | Cardiff | 35.59 | 37.40 | 38.39 | 37.93 |
SoTR
This is where Liverpool are good; it is their ability to get shots on net and prevent the opposition from doing the same. Score Adjusted lets them down a touch but Liverpool's numbers are pretty darn good here, but they still trail Chelsea who have were the destroyer of Sunderland's world on Saturday. Mannone was the hero.
Pos | SoTR | Tied | Close | Total | Score Adj |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Chelsea | 67.70 | 65.56 | 66.25 | 65.68 |
1 | Liverpool | 66.38 | 63.12 | 62.60 | 60.05 |
3 | Man City | 67.92 | 62.77 | 64.31 | 64.74 |
4 | Arsenal | 61.29 | 58.98 | 55.88 | 55.1 |
8 | Southampton | 56.25 | 57.66 | 57.49 | 56.21 |
5 | Everton | 56.14 | 57.35 | 57.01 | 57.18 |
6 | Tottenham | 60.63 | 57.20 | 55.42 | 55.8 |
7 | Man United | 48.84 | 55.02 | 54.24 | 52.58 |
9 | Newcastle | 56.74 | 53.44 | 52.91 | 52.97 |
11 | Palace | 44.93 | 47.90 | 45.91 | 47.1 |
13 | Swansea | 43.45 | 46.77 | 50.52 | 50.27 |
16 | West Brom | 40.65 | 46.47 | 45.86 | 43.66 |
15 | Aston Villa | 45.64 | 46.12 | 46.07 | 45.64 |
17 | Norwich | 50.35 | 46.12 | 45.10 | 46.56 |
14 | Hull | 45.97 | 46.08 | 46.54 | 47.14 |
10 | Stoke | 43.33 | 42.75 | 42.57 | 44.01 |
19 | Fulham | 40.91 | 38.46 | 38.36 | 42.09 |
12 | West Ham | 40.00 | 37.88 | 36.45 | 39.04 |
20 | Sunderland | 36.94 | 36.50 | 37.23 | 37.75 |
18 | Cardiff | 34.52 | 36.43 | 35.67 | 36.18 |
SoT Rating/SoT Efficiency?
I need a better name for this stat, I really do.
SoT for% = shots on target for/shots for
SoT Prev% = shots on target against/shots against
SoT Rating/Efficiency/Luck = For% + Prevention%
This stat is kinda like PDO for getting your shots on target. James Grayson wrote a little on the sustainability of SoT For% last night:
@RWhittall @colinttrainor @benjaminpugsley LFC's % of shots on target for is 2.27 STDEV above the league average this year. (1 of x)
— James Grayson (@JamesWGrayson) April 21, 2014
@RWhittall @colinttrainor @benjaminpugsley Since '00-01 the top 5 team seasons by this measure have been an average of 2.24 STDEV (2 of x)
— James Grayson (@JamesWGrayson) April 21, 2014
@RWhittall @colinttrainor @benjaminpugsley above the mean. The following season those five teams had a % shots on target for that (3 of x)
— James Grayson (@JamesWGrayson) April 21, 2014
@RWhittall @colinttrainor @benjaminpugsley was 0.97 STDEV above the mean, a regression of 57% (compared with a ~50% average). (4 of 4)
— James Grayson (@JamesWGrayson) April 21, 2014
Now, James and I use a slightly different data source but the general point still stands. The ability to get your shots on target regresses year on year. SoT Prevention% will likely regress too. So on both sides of the ball it is likely that a teams "ability" to get its shots on target will regress year on year.
The survey says.....Liverpool are bananas:
Pos | Team | SoT For% | SoT Prev% | SoT Rating |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Liverpool | 40.41 | 68.6 | 109.01 |
4 | Arsenal | 40.63 | 64.3 | 104.93 |
5 | Everton | 35.22 | 68.67 | 103.88 |
2 | Chelsea | 33.97 | 69.41 | 103.37 |
7 | Man United | 35.38 | 67.46 | 102.85 |
14 | Hull | 30.33 | 71.6 | 101.93 |
3 | Man City | 35.4 | 65.98 | 101.38 |
11 | Palace | 33.68 | 67.66 | 101.34 |
10 | Stoke | 33.69 | 66.47 | 100.16 |
15 | Aston Villa | 31.06 | 67.71 | 98.77 |
17 | Norwich | 31.05 | 67.18 | 98.23 |
13 | Swansea | 31.97 | 66.05 | 98.02 |
19 | Fulham | 34.85 | 62.83 | 97.68 |
12 | West Ham | 28.61 | 69.04 | 97.65 |
9 | Newcastle | 31.92 | 64.67 | 96.58 |
8 | Southampton | 34.09 | 62.35 | 96.44 |
18 | Cardiff | 30.49 | 65.86 | 96.35 |
16 | West Brom | 31.15 | 64.88 | 96.02 |
6 | Tottenham | 32.72 | 61.84 | 94.57 |
20 | Sunderland | 28.11 | 65.48 | 93.59 |
So, I'll just leave this here.
PDO
Man City and Liverpool are lights out in terms of scoring%. West Ham, Chelsea and Everton have the high save%'s. Newcastle PDO: My GOD.
Pos | Team | SC% | SAVE% | PDO |
---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Man City | 43.13 | 69.57 | 112.69 |
1 | Liverpool | 40.68 | 68.79 | 109.47 |
12 | West Ham | 34.23 | 74.87 | 109.1 |
2 | Chelsea | 31.31 | 75.93 | 107.23 |
5 | Everton | 30.48 | 75.89 | 106.37 |
7 | Man United | 34.78 | 70.59 | 105.37 |
4 | Arsenal | 32.12 | 72.85 | 104.97 |
10 | Stoke | 30.95 | 71.01 | 101.96 |
20 | Sunderland | 27.05 | 72.06 | 99.11 |
14 | Hull | 28.1 | 69.29 | 97.38 |
13 | Swansea | 31.76 | 65.31 | 97.06 |
16 | West Brom | 30.83 | 65.61 | 96.43 |
18 | Cardiff | 26.27 | 69.34 | 95.61 |
6 | Tottenham | 28.49 | 66.21 | 94.7 |
11 | Palace | 21.54 | 73.03 | 94.56 |
15 | Aston Villa | 28.46 | 65.97 | 94.43 |
8 | Southampton | 30.3 | 64 | 94.3 |
19 | Fulham | 25.36 | 65.93 | 91.29 |
17 | Norwich | 20.59 | 67.44 | 88.03 |
9 | Newcastle | 22.54 | 64.71 | 87.25 |
Time
Time spent winning, drawing and losing as a per game number.
Pos | Team | Win | Draw | Lose |
---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Man City | 49.8 | 32.9 | 7.7 |
1 | Liverpool | 49.1 | 30.4 | 10.5 |
2 | Chelsea | 34.5 | 47.6 | 8.2 |
4 | Arsenal | 34.2 | 38.2 | 17.6 |
7 | Man United | 29.5 | 36.3 | 24.2 |
8 | Southampton | 25.4 | 41.3 | 23.2 |
5 | Everton | 24.5 | 52.3 | 13.1 |
6 | Tottenham | 22.5 | 42.8 | 24.8 |
14 | Hull | 22.1 | 42.4 | 25.6 |
9 | Newcastle | 22.1 | 43.1 | 24.8 |
12 | West Ham | 19.7 | 48.6 | 21.7 |
11 | Palace | 18.5 | 45.5 | 26 |
10 | Stoke | 17.8 | 50.1 | 22.1 |
13 | Swansea | 17.4 | 43.4 | 29.1 |
20 | Sunderland | 16.6 | 36 | 37.4 |
16 | West Brom | 15.8 | 41.2 | 33 |
19 | Fulham | 14.9 | 45.3 | 29.9 |
15 | Aston Villa | 14 | 51.6 | 24.4 |
17 | Norwich | 13 | 42.4 | 34.5 |
18 | Cardiff | 9.2 | 47.7 | 33.1 |