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Total Shots Ratio) Otherwise known as Corsi in hockey. This looks at a teams share of the total (missed/blocked/on target) shots count. shots for / total shots (shots f + shots a)
SoTR (shots On Target Ratio) This looks at a teams share of the shots on target count. shots on target f / total shots on target
Fenwick/Unblocked Shots Ratio This looks at a teams share of the shots count with all blocked shots removed. missed shots f + shots on target f / total missed shots + total shots on target
PDO Scoring% (goals/shots on target) + Save % (100-goals against/shots on target against)
Zone Time Minutes spent in each zone (attacking, middle, defensive) per game.
Time Total number of minutes spent winning/drawing/losing
Week 24 (Sortable Tables)
All tables set to Close Game State.
TSR
This is each teams share of the shots count. Tied tells us about a teams share of the shots when the score is tied. Close is when the score is tied or within a single goal. Total is all game situations (0-0's or 5-1's etc).
Man City are the best team across the board and this is unlikely to change form now until the seasons end.
Cardiff and Fulham are adrift. Again, this is unlikely to change before seasons end.
The relationship between the two numbers - TSR/shots share% and points won - are as follows:
Tied 0.836
Close 0.82
Total 0.76
The closer the number (r2) is towards 1 the better the *relationship between the two stats.
Pos | TSR/Corsi | Tied | Close | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Man City | 66.81 | 65.42 | 63.78 |
3 | Chelsea | 64.51 | 62.31 | 62.27 |
6 | Tottenham | 63.25 | 61.2 | 58.93 |
1 | Arsenal | 63.02 | 58.93 | 55.12 |
9 | Southampton | 53.82 | 58.18 | 58.01 |
5 | Everton | 56.32 | 57.24 | 57.14 |
8 | Newcastle | 61 | 56.35 | 56.03 |
4 | Liverpool | 61.07 | 54.22 | 55.7 |
7 | Man United | 50.59 | 53.15 | 53.38 |
12 | Swansea | 47.87 | 49.29 | 51.69 |
16 | West Brom | 42.33 | 48.5 | 48.76 |
15 | Norwich | 47.97 | 45.99 | 44.57 |
10 | Aston Villa | 44.55 | 45.54 | 46.61 |
17 | Palace | 41.9 | 44.79 | 46.63 |
13 | Hull | 43.37 | 44.16 | 44.64 |
11 | Stoke | 46.98 | 43.63 | 42.52 |
14 | Sunderland | 49.59 | 42.11 | 42.88 |
18 | West Ham | 37.14 | 40.52 | 38.84 |
20 | Fulham | 35.82 | 37.07 | 38.67 |
19 | Cardiff | 33.53 | 35.84 | 36.59 |
SoTR
Chelsea edge out Man City in this table which shows each teams share of the shots on target.
Cardiff and West Ham are terrible.
The relationship between the two numbers - SoTR/shots on target share% and points won - are as follows:
Tied 0.88
Close 0.87
Total 0.82
The closer the number (r2) is towards 1 the better the *relationship between the two stats.
Pos | SoTR | Tied | Close | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Chelsea | 66.99 | 65.08 | 65.88 |
2 | Man City | 66.67 | 63.37 | 63.37 |
1 | Arsenal | 64.77 | 60.94 | 58.01 |
5 | Everton | 56.78 | 58.76 | 59.03 |
4 | Liverpool | 62.79 | 58.2 | 60.47 |
6 | Tottenham | 61.39 | 57.67 | 54.67 |
9 | Southampton | 52.75 | 57.39 | 58.64 |
7 | Man United | 52 | 55.56 | 54.5 |
8 | Newcastle | 59.14 | 54.14 | 55.02 |
16 | West Brom | 39.58 | 47.13 | 45.69 |
12 | Swansea | 43 | 46.75 | 51.01 |
15 | Norwich | 49.51 | 46.29 | 42.65 |
17 | Palace | 41.76 | 46.25 | 44.68 |
10 | Aston Villa | 46.46 | 46.15 | 46.91 |
13 | Hull | 44.19 | 42.86 | 43.86 |
11 | Stoke | 43.88 | 40.22 | 39.05 |
20 | Fulham | 39.83 | 39.15 | 39.02 |
14 | Sunderland | 47.14 | 39.11 | 39.81 |
18 | West Ham | 37.74 | 36.61 | 36.59 |
19 | Cardiff | 30.48 | 35.33 | 34.88 |
Fenwick
Fenwick is the name for the share of the shots count but with blocked shots removed. It is a wonderful stat for hockey, but doesn't have quite the same explanatory or predictive power in football. Still, it's interesting to see how teams fare by a shots count which removes blocks for and against.
The relationship between the two numbers - TSR/shots share% and points won - are as follows:
Tied 0.76
Close 0.77
Total 0.75
The closer the number (r2) is towards 1 the better the *relationship between the two stats.
Pos | Fenwick | Tied | Close | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Man City | 62.5 | 63.09 | 61 |
3 | Chelsea | 64.02 | 62.08 | 62.42 |
6 | Tottenham | 60.5 | 59.11 | 56.16 |
1 | Arsenal | 62.56 | 57.48 | 54.21 |
8 | Newcastle | 62.11 | 57.11 | 55.38 |
5 | Everton | 53.31 | 55.53 | 55.49 |
9 | Southampton | 51.85 | 55.53 | 55.5 |
4 | Liverpool | 59.34 | 54.43 | 57.09 |
7 | Man United | 50.54 | 53.22 | 53.46 |
16 | West Brom | 46.54 | 51.68 | 50.9 |
12 | Swansea | 47.41 | 48 | 50.96 |
10 | Aston Villa | 46.43 | 47.3 | 47.62 |
17 | Palace | 43.09 | 47.22 | 47.83 |
15 | Norwich | 49.39 | 45.98 | 45.04 |
11 | Stoke | 50 | 45.6 | 44.07 |
13 | Hull | 44.29 | 43.62 | 43.46 |
18 | West Ham | 38.66 | 42.06 | 41.7 |
14 | Sunderland | 49.44 | 38.86 | 41.18 |
20 | Fulham | 34 | 37.44 | 38.81 |
19 | Cardiff | 32.81 | 35.7 | 36.4 |
PDO
If Callum Hamilton can understand this stat, then so can you!
PDO is simply the addition of a teams scoring% and save%. This stat tells us a little about how well each team converts its shots on target and prevents the opposition from converting its shots on target. This stat regresses heavily toward the mean and is widely regarding as a proxy for luck.
Pos | Team | SC% | SAVE% | PDO |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Arsenal | 34.31 | 78.35 | 112.66 |
10 | Aston Villa | 29.67 | 66.99 | 96.66 |
19 | Cardiff | 25.33 | 70.92 | 96.26 |
3 | Chelsea | 31.21 | 72.22 | 103.43 |
17 | Palace | 17.65 | 67.96 | 85.61 |
5 | Everton | 27.82 | 73.12 | 100.94 |
20 | Fulham | 23.4 | 65.13 | 88.54 |
13 | Hull | 30.67 | 69.07 | 99.74 |
4 | Liverpool | 37.18 | 71.57 | 108.75 |
2 | Man City | 43.59 | 69.32 | 112.91 |
7 | Man United | 33.62 | 70.1 | 103.72 |
8 | Newcastle | 25.4 | 69.61 | 95 |
15 | Norwich | 21.35 | 70.4 | 91.75 |
9 | Southampton | 30.36 | 66.25 | 96.61 |
11 | Stoke | 29.27 | 70.08 | 99.35 |
14 | Sunderland | 29.41 | 71.65 | 101.07 |
12 | Swansea | 28.43 | 65 | 93.43 |
6 | Tottenham | 25.2 | 68.93 | 94.14 |
16 | West Brom | 31.11 | 68.22 | 99.34 |
18 | West Ham | 31.17 | 74.81 | 105.98 |
Time Spent Winning/Drawing/Losing
This is the total number of minutes each team has spent at each game state. These numbers are per 90 minutes, ie, I do not include injury time. I probably should but it makes things a hella lot more difficult for me to process.
Man City and Liverpool post excellent "win" numbers, but it's likely that those totals will fall off a little between now and seasons end. SImple regression and a n understanding that is nearly impossible to spend ~50 minutes per game in a winning position.
Swansea post some pretty numbers in this chart.
Team | Win | Draw | Loss |
---|---|---|---|
Man City | 1171 | 811 | 188 |
Liverpool | 1103 | 751 | 306 |
Arsenal | 915 | 995 | 250 |
Chelsea | 857 | 1081 | 232 |
Man United | 732 | 881 | 547 |
Newcastle | 671 | 990 | 499 |
Southampton | 612 | 981 | 567 |
Tottenham | 552 | 1120 | 488 |
Everton | 547 | 1256 | 367 |
Sunderland | 541 | 831 | 788 |
Hull | 494 | 1119 | 547 |
Stoke | 407 | 1155 | 608 |
West Ham | 403 | 1208 | 549 |
Aston Villa | 370 | 1154 | 636 |
Palace | 361 | 1028 | 771 |
Swansea | 337 | 1051 | 772 |
Norwich | 316 | 1071 | 773 |
West Brom | 300 | 1165 | 695 |
Fulham | 270 | 1069 | 821 |
Cardiff | 244 | 1117 | 799 |
Zone Time
Some poor teams at the foot of this table, Liverpool post odd, conflicting numbers in the middle of this table and then there is Man City at the top of this table.
Man City have spent the most amount of minutes in a winning position of all the PL teams through week 24. Usually, when a team spends a lot of time winning we would expect that winning team to sit a little deeper, protect its one goal lead by tightening its defensive shape, cede possession and thus spend a little more time in its own defensive end.
Man City are not that prototypical team when winning. City spend a league low 21.5 minutes per game in their defensive end. And that is despite spending so many minutes leading. City control games, spend a lot of time in the oppositions third of the pitch and are able, whether winning or losing, to prevent the opposition from spending too much time in City's own defensive third.
O Zone Time | N Zone Time | D Zone Time | |
---|---|---|---|
Man City | 27.1 | 41.5 | 21.5 |
Chelsea | 27.6 | 40.1 | 22.4 |
Tottenham | 26.7 | 41 | 22.4 |
Man United | 26.6 | 41 | 22.4 |
Arsenal | 26.1 | 40.4 | 23.5 |
Swansea | 23.6 | 42.8 | 23.7 |
Newcastle | 24.5 | 41.6 | 24 |
Everton | 27.7 | 38.1 | 24.2 |
West Brom | 25.6 | 40.1 | 24.3 |
Southampton | 25.1 | 40.4 | 24.6 |
Hull | 23.9 | 40.8 | 25.4 |
Aston Villa | 22.8 | 41.5 | 25.7 |
Liverpool | 24.7 | 39.2 | 26.1 |
West Ham | 25.4 | 38.4 | 26.2 |
Norwich | 25.6 | 37.8 | 26.6 |
Sunderland | 23.6 | 39.5 | 26.9 |
Stoke | 22.5 | 40.7 | 26.9 |
Palace | 23.9 | 39.1 | 27 |
Fulham | 22.7 | 39.9 | 27.4 |
Cardiff | 23.2 | 39.2 | 27.7 |