Total Shots Ratio) Otherwise known as Corsi in hockey. This looks at a teams share of the total (missed/blocked/on target) shots count. shots for / total shots (shots f + shots a)

SoTR (shots On Target Ratio) This looks at a teams share of the shots on target count. shots on target f / total shots on target

Fenwick/Unblocked Shots Ratio This looks at a teams share of the shots count with all blocked shots removed. missed shots f + shots on target f / total missed shots + total shots on target

PDO Scoring% (goals/shots on target) + Save % (100-goals against/shots on target against)

Score Adjusted TSR/SoTR = x team losing minutes per game * [x team losing TSR-League Average Losing TSR] + x team tying minutes per game* [x team tying TSR-league average TSR] + x team winning minutes per game* [x team winning TSR-league average winning TSR]/ 90+50

Week 23 (Sortable Tables)

All tables set to Close Game State.

TSR

West Ham sink after being outshot heavily by Chelsea (San Jose). Very real problems for West Ham right now. Fulham, too.

Pos	TSR/Corsi	Tied	Close	Total
1	Man City	67.7	66.1	64.5
3	Chelsea	65.4	63.9	63.6
5	Tottenham	63.9	60.9	58.5
2	Arsenal	62.4	58.8	55.1
9	Southampton	53.0	57.7	57.4
6	Everton	56.2	56.7	56.1
8	Newcastle	61.1	56.5	55.7
4	Liverpool	61.1	54.4	56.1
7	Man United	50.8	52.7	52.9
11	Swansea	48.3	49.6	51.0
15	West Brom	42.4	48.4	48.7
10	Aston Villa	44.8	46.3	47.0
14	Palace	42.7	45.1	46.5
13	Hull	43.0	44.8	43.9
12	Norwich	48.1	44.5	43.5
16	Stoke	46.7	43.8	42.8
17	Sunderland	49.8	42.0	43.6
18	West Ham	36.6	40.1	39.2
19	Fulham	35.8	37.3	39.6
20	Cardiff	33.1	36.1	36.7

SoTR

Chelsea are the best Total SoTR team, City pip them to the Close and Tied crown. West Ham edge toward bottom.

Pos	SoTR	Tied	Close	Total
1	Man City	69.3	65.0	64.5
3	Chelsea	66.0	65.0	65.8
2	Arsenal	63.9	60.5	57.4
4	Liverpool	62.7	58.8	61.0
5	Tottenham	62.9	58.2	55.1
6	Everton	56.5	57.8	58.2
9	Southampton	53.6	57.7	58.8
7	Man United	52.6	56.5	55.2
8	Newcastle	59.3	54.8	54.2
11	Swansea	43.4	47.9	52.1
10	Aston Villa	46.9	47.5	48.1
14	Palace	43.0	47.1	45.6
15	West Brom	39.8	46.7	45.3
12	Norwich	50.0	45.5	41.8
13	Hull	42.7	42.1	43.3
16	Stoke	43.2	39.1	38.0
19	Fulham	38.7	38.7	38.8
17	Sunderland	47.1	38.3	40.3
18	West Ham	37.1	35.2	35.3
20	Cardiff	29.4	35.1	34.6

PDO

PDO's gently regressing toward the mean. Arsenal (Save%) and City (scoring%) are stubbornly holding out. Bothe numbers will likely regress toward mean.

Pos	Team	SC%	SAVE%	PDO
1	Man City	44.4	68.3	112.7
2	Arsenal	34.4	77.7	112.0
4	Liverpool	37.3	71.4	108.7
18	West Ham	30.1	74.8	105.0
7	Man United	33.9	70.3	104.3
3	Chelsea	31.9	71.0	102.9
6	Everton	27.6	73.9	101.5
13	Hull	31.0	69.2	100.1
15	West Brom	31.4	68.3	99.7
16	Stoke	29.0	69.9	98.9
8	Newcastle	27.6	71.1	98.7
17	Sunderland	27.5	69.2	96.7
10	Aston Villa	28.9	67.0	95.9
20	Cardiff	24.3	70.4	94.7
11	Swansea	28.4	65.6	94.1
5	Tottenham	25.0	68.7	93.7
9	Southampton	29.0	64.5	93.5
12	Norwich	21.7	70.8	92.5
19	Fulham	24.4	66.0	90.4
14	Palace	18.3	68.0	86.3

Close PDO

Now we look at PDO solely at Close Game State (-1, Tied, +1).

Arsenal, Liverpool and City's PDO all rises when we look at Close PDO. This means that outside of Close, each teams PDO is taking a hit.

	Close Sc%	Close Save%	Close PDO
Man City	43.4	71.93	115.33
Arsenal	35.71	79.45	115.17
Liverpool	38.32	73.33	111.65
Chelsea	33.33	71.43	104.76
Everton	28.7	74.68	103.39
Man United	31.87	70	101.87
Tottenham	25.47	76.32	101.79
Newcastle	27.84	73.75	101.59
Stoke	29.41	70.75	100.17
West Ham	25.4	74.14	99.53
West Brom	29.49	68.54	98.03
Hull	28.81	67.9	96.71
Sunderland	25.37	70.37	95.74
Southampton	28.87	66.2	95.06
Aston Villa	29.87	64.71	94.58
Cardiff	22.95	70.8	93.75
Swansea	26.58	66.28	92.86
Norwich	20	71.11	91.11
Fulham	24.29	64.86	89.15
Palace	19.44	65.43	84.88

Score Adjusted TSR

*See above for an explanation on Score Adjusted TSR.

City top this very important table, why? Because City post a very good TSR number when winning. Man City spend a ton of time in a winning position when, usually, teams get out shot .

Obviously, a team who posts a very good winning TSR when the field is tilted against you, so to speak, will see their score adjusted TSR number boosted a little.

City are that team. Chelsea are also very good, the rest of the league is a ways behind.

Pos	Team	Score Adjusted TSR
2	Arsenal	56.26
10	Aston Villa	46.05
20	Cardiff	37.80
3	Chelsea	64.92
14	Palace	46.30
6	Everton	57.16
19	Fulham	42.00
13	Hull	45.43
4	Liverpool	54.83
1	Man City	69.13
7	Man United	52.57
8	Newcastle	54.92
12	Norwich	43.26
9	Southampton	55.41
16	Stoke	42.61
17	Sunderland	42.24
11	Swansea	49.03
5	Tottenham	58.26
15	West Brom	45.07
18	West Ham	40.21

Here's how Score Adjusted TSR, Close TSR & Standard TSR look when placed with team points totals.

Score Adjusted r2=0.86

Close r2=0.84

Standard r2=0.81

Score Adjusted > Close > Standard. These need more testing, but looking at last years data and this years data, all indications point to using score adjusted TSR over the standard TSR. If you can't pull Score Adjusted TSR then use Close TSR, which I publish here every week.