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R (Total Shots Ratio) Otherwise known as Corsi in hockey. This looks at a teams share of the total (missed/blocked/on target) shots count. shots for / total shots (shots f + shots a)
SoTR (shots On Target Ratio) This looks at a teams share of the shots on target count. shots on target f / total shots on target
Fenwick/Unblocked Shots Ratio This looks at a teams share of the shots count with all blocked shots removed. missed shots f + shots on target f / total missed shots + total shots on target
PDO Scoring% (goals/shots on target) + Save % (100-goals against/shots on target against)
Week 20 (Sortable Tables)
All tables set to Close Game State.
TSR
Man City are tops across all three game states. Cardiff are the worst team.
Pos | TSR/Corsi | Tied | Close | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Man City | 67.13 | 65.32 | 63.18 |
5 | Tottenham | 64.74 | 62.33 | 60.6 |
3 | Chelsea | 60.59 | 61.28 | 61.35 |
1 | Arsenal | 63.93 | 59.79 | 55.92 |
9 | Southampton | 52.31 | 57.4 | 57.25 |
6 | Everton | 57.39 | 57.33 | 57.14 |
8 | Newcastle | 60.08 | 55.67 | 54.79 |
4 | Liverpool | 60.09 | 54.05 | 56.17 |
7 | Man United | 50.21 | 52.33 | 52.27 |
15 | Swansea | 47.67 | 49.12 | 51.15 |
13 | West Brom | 41.84 | 48.05 | 48.48 |
10 | Aston Villa | 44.95 | 46.44 | 47.35 |
12 | Norwich | 49.84 | 45.29 | 43.82 |
16 | Palace | 42.15 | 44.77 | 46.43 |
11 | Hull | 43.25 | 44.54 | 45.02 |
14 | Stoke | 47.47 | 43.64 | 42.4 |
18 | West Ham | 40.66 | 42.75 | 41.29 |
19 | Sunderland | 48.7 | 41.37 | 42.83 |
17 | Fulham | 35.28 | 37.08 | 38.34 |
20 | Cardiff | 33.43 | 36.09 | 37.12 |
SoTR
City and Chelsea have a little separation. Fulham have climbed. Liverpool and United are 7th and 8th respectively at Close.
Pos | SoTR | Tied | Close | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Man City | 68.92 | 64.15 | 63.51 |
3 | Chelsea | 63.33 | 63.53 | 64.58 |
1 | Arsenal | 66.23 | 61.36 | 57.94 |
6 | Everton | 59.63 | 59.78 | 59.9 |
5 | Tottenham | 63.54 | 59.55 | 57.28 |
9 | Southampton | 52.56 | 57.86 | 58.96 |
4 | Liverpool | 59.74 | 57.47 | 60.5 |
7 | Man United | 51.58 | 55.7 | 54.36 |
8 | Newcastle | 59.3 | 54.65 | 54.07 |
16 | Palace | 42.86 | 47.26 | 45.66 |
10 | Aston Villa | 46.74 | 47.06 | 47.46 |
13 | West Brom | 39.33 | 46.84 | 45.56 |
15 | Swansea | 42.22 | 46.75 | 51.37 |
12 | Norwich | 50.53 | 45.63 | 41.84 |
11 | Hull | 42.5 | 41.35 | 42.68 |
17 | Fulham | 38.24 | 38.82 | 38.94 |
14 | Stoke | 44.57 | 38.65 | 37.57 |
19 | Sunderland | 44.62 | 37.2 | 39.46 |
18 | West Ham | 40 | 36.69 | 36.65 |
20 | Cardiff | 30 | 35.67 | 35.18 |
Fenwick
Once we remove blocked shots (Fenwick) we see that Cardiff, Fulham and Sunderland are cut adrift. Different stats, different outputs.
Pos | Fenwick | Tied | Close | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Man City | 62.5 | 62.71 | 60.04 |
3 | Chelsea | 60.7 | 61.62 | 62.06 |
5 | Tottenham | 62.33 | 60.45 | 58.06 |
1 | Arsenal | 62.92 | 57.79 | 54.52 |
8 | Newcastle | 61.58 | 56.71 | 54.87 |
6 | Everton | 54.69 | 55.88 | 56.07 |
9 | Southampton | 50.62 | 55.17 | 55.11 |
4 | Liverpool | 58.79 | 54.83 | 57.63 |
7 | Man United | 50.87 | 53.09 | 52.84 |
13 | West Brom | 45.32 | 50.57 | 50.12 |
10 | Aston Villa | 46.92 | 48.25 | 48.3 |
15 | Swansea | 46.92 | 47.67 | 51.18 |
16 | Palace | 43.5 | 47.2 | 47.59 |
12 | Norwich | 51.12 | 46.04 | 45 |
14 | Stoke | 50.22 | 44.94 | 43.29 |
18 | West Ham | 41.67 | 43.8 | 43.29 |
11 | Hull | 44.1 | 43.71 | 43.52 |
19 | Sunderland | 48.17 | 37.93 | 40.44 |
17 | Fulham | 33.02 | 37.33 | 38.36 |
20 | Cardiff | 32.65 | 35.25 | 36.4 |
PDO
My favourite.
Top 4 PDO teams are also the top 4 PL teams in a slightly jumbled order. Why? Talent disparity, time spent in a winning position which bumps things up slightly.
All these numbers regress, including City and Arsenal and Tottenham. Palace, though, may be a lost cause.
Considering West Ham's downward trend by the shots differentials it is mighty important their PDO remains robust enough to absorb some of the effects of being a poor shots team.
Pos | Team | SC% | SAVE% | PDO |
---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Man City | 44.06 | 68.75 | 112.81 |
1 | Arsenal | 33.86 | 78.65 | 112.51 |
4 | Liverpool | 36.81 | 70.21 | 107.02 |
3 | Chelsea | 34.13 | 70.59 | 104.72 |
7 | Man United | 33.64 | 70 | 103.64 |
18 | West Ham | 30.56 | 72.95 | 103.51 |
6 | Everton | 29.41 | 74.03 | 103.44 |
11 | Hull | 32.84 | 69.23 | 102.07 |
13 | West Brom | 31.58 | 69.15 | 100.73 |
14 | Stoke | 30.99 | 69.23 | 100.22 |
8 | Newcastle | 28.32 | 70.53 | 98.84 |
19 | Sunderland | 28.38 | 67.86 | 96.24 |
20 | Cardiff | 24.64 | 70.77 | 95.41 |
5 | Tottenham | 24.58 | 70.79 | 95.36 |
10 | Aston Villa | 26.19 | 68.82 | 95.01 |
9 | Southampton | 28.43 | 65.28 | 93.71 |
12 | Norwich | 22.22 | 70.09 | 92.31 |
15 | Swansea | 28.42 | 63.33 | 91.75 |
17 | Fulham | 25.58 | 65.71 | 91.3 |
16 | Palace | 17.72 | 66.67 | 84.39 |
Quality Of Competition
Here's a short explanation. The table below shows the average strength of each teams fixture list using opponents TSR and SoTR at the time of fixture. The information is not taken weeks before or weeks after but as it stood on the day of the fixture.
I also included the points total of the fixture list faced. Fixture List points = opposition ppg at time of fixture*22.
Table set to opposition SoTR.
Fulham and Arsenal have had it easy by the Shots On Target Ratio opposition. Liverpool by the TSR opposition. Man
Manchester United's opponents have accumulated the highest numbers number of points. Read into that what you will.
Fixture List Points | Opp TSR | Opp SoTR | |
---|---|---|---|
Cardiff | 29.3 | 52.54 | 52.3 |
Stoke | 30.2 | 49.05 | 52.18 |
Southampton | 29.67 | 51.31 | 51.44 |
Chelsea | 31.75 | 50.71 | 51.26 |
Newcastle | 32.4 | 50.33 | 51.03 |
Man United | 32.71 | 51.57 | 50.96 |
Sunderland | 28.29 | 49.19 | 50.78 |
Aston Villa | 31.86 | 51.34 | 49.69 |
West Brom | 27.05 | 50.71 | 49.61 |
Hull | 29.68 | 50.23 | 49.25 |
Man City | 28.67 | 49.78 | 48.96 |
Tottenham | 27.18 | 50.05 | 48.85 |
Liverpool | 29.1 | 46.47 | 48.79 |
Swansea | 29.59 | 50.59 | 48.23 |
Norwich | 28.38 | 49.12 | 48.17 |
Palace | 28.57 | 48.63 | 48.12 |
Everton | 28.11 | 50.03 | 47.63 |
West Ham | 26.08 | 47.83 | 47.33 |
Arsenal | 31.98 | 48.7 | 47 |
Fulham | 24.57 | 49.86 | 45.26 |