/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/25655781/irises-1889.0.jpg)
TSR (Total Shots Ratio) Otherwise known as Corsi in hockey. This looks at a teams share of the total (missed/blocked/on target) shots count. shots for / total shots (shots f + shots a)
SoTR (shots On Target Ratio) This looks at a teams share of the shots on target count. shots on target f / total shots on target
Fenwick/Unblocked Shots Ratio This looks at a teams share of the shots count with all blocked shots removed. missed shots f + shots on target f / total missed shots + total shots on target
PDO Scoring% (goals/shots on target) + Save % (100-goals against/shots on target against)
Week 17 (Sortable Tables)
All tables set to Close Game State.
TSR
Liverpool sit in 7th place by Close TSR. City are tops at Close and, wait for it, Crystal Palace aren't that bad!
Man United are 9th at Close and 8th at Total.
Pos | TSR/Corsi | Tied | Close | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Man City | 64.56 | 65.81 | 63.73 |
7 | Tottenham | 65.42 | 62.62 | 61.26 |
4 | Chelsea | 61.4 | 61.65 | 61.9 |
6 | Newcastle | 64.04 | 56.43 | 54.29 |
5 | Everton | 56.67 | 56.22 | 56.04 |
2 | Arsenal | 57.62 | 55.52 | 52.19 |
1 | Liverpool | 62.5 | 55.4 | 58.05 |
9 | Southampton | 50.89 | 55.4 | 55.72 |
8 | Man United | 52.78 | 54.13 | 53.41 |
16 | West Brom | 42.47 | 49.57 | 50 |
11 | Swansea | 47.75 | 49.29 | 51.63 |
13 | Aston Villa | 45.5 | 47.7 | 48 |
17 | West Ham | 44.83 | 47.51 | 44.62 |
18 | Palace | 42.07 | 45.25 | 46.06 |
10 | Stoke | 48.18 | 45.18 | 44.29 |
12 | Hull | 43.06 | 44.39 | 43.91 |
14 | Norwich | 46.05 | 43.69 | 42.12 |
20 | Sunderland | 48.26 | 40.23 | 42.55 |
15 | Cardiff | 34.04 | 35.56 | 36.51 |
19 | Fulham | 30.97 | 32.9 | 34.54 |
SoTR
So Man City are the best team in the league in every category. And it's not even remotely close.
Everton are really good, Liverpool merely good.
Cardiff, Sunderland and Fulham are adrift.
Check out Newcastle's Tied SoTR number!
Pos | SoTR | Tied | Close | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Man City | 68.52 | 67.26 | 67.06 |
4 | Chelsea | 61.11 | 62.22 | 63.64 |
5 | Everton | 60.44 | 61.19 | 61.01 |
2 | Arsenal | 64.71 | 58.82 | 57.14 |
7 | Tottenham | 63.75 | 58.5 | 56.80 |
9 | Southampton | 54.84 | 57.48 | 58.52 |
8 | Man United | 53.95 | 57.26 | 55.19 |
1 | Liverpool | 57.38 | 55.64 | 60.00 |
6 | Newcastle | 64.18 | 54.26 | 53.13 |
11 | Swansea | 47.3 | 51.2 | 55.41 |
13 | Aston Villa | 47.14 | 47.01 | 47.06 |
18 | Palace | 40.38 | 44.76 | 43.08 |
16 | West Brom | 34.43 | 44.74 | 43.38 |
14 | Norwich | 49.25 | 44.35 | 38.75 |
10 | Stoke | 43.59 | 42.74 | 40.71 |
12 | Hull | 42.37 | 40.78 | 40.17 |
17 | West Ham | 39.13 | 40 | 39.85 |
19 | Fulham | 33.82 | 35.48 | 35.54 |
20 | Sunderland | 43.4 | 35.4 | 37.60 |
15 | Cardiff | 31.76 | 32.82 | 32.64 |
Fenwick
Remove the blocked shots for and against and we come up with a stat called Fenwick.
Pos | Fenwick | Tied | Close | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Man City | 61.42 | 64.14 | 60.6 |
4 | Chelsea | 60.84 | 61.54 | 62.5 |
7 | Tottenham | 63.22 | 60.94 | 59.17 |
6 | Newcastle | 66.67 | 57.53 | 54.47 |
1 | Liverpool | 59.84 | 54.68 | 58.08 |
2 | Arsenal | 57.52 | 54.58 | 52 |
5 | Everton | 53.64 | 54.07 | 55.07 |
8 | Man United | 53.03 | 54 | 53.21 |
9 | Southampton | 50.39 | 53.45 | 54.07 |
11 | Swansea | 48.21 | 49.25 | 52.62 |
16 | West Brom | 41.04 | 48.8 | 48.54 |
13 | Aston Villa | 46.91 | 48.48 | 48.31 |
10 | Stoke | 51.61 | 47.8 | 46.37 |
18 | Palace | 42.06 | 47.16 | 46.8 |
17 | West Ham | 44.21 | 46.57 | 45.23 |
14 | Norwich | 48.7 | 45.27 | 43.58 |
12 | Hull | 42.96 | 42.64 | 41.52 |
20 | Sunderland | 47.41 | 36.64 | 39.88 |
15 | Cardiff | 33.5 | 34.19 | 35.49 |
19 | Fulham | 29.03 | 33.33 | 34.92 |
PDO
PDO=Scoring%+Save%.
Liverpool are riding the PDO all the way to the top of that table. I am more concerned about Liverpool and Arsenal's PDO's. What happens if those PDO's regress? They can't fall back on outstanding shots numbers like Man City or Chelsea or Tottenham could.
Liverpool and Arsenal are posting shots numbers that would be good for about 5th place. As it is, both of those clubs have points on the board on the back of outstanding PDO's and merely good shots ratios.
Man City are different.
Tottenham's Scoring% is showing signs of life...
Pos | Team | SC% | SAVE% | PDO |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Liverpool | 36.84 | 75.00 | 111.84 |
2 | Arsenal | 34.38 | 76.39 | 110.76 |
3 | Man City | 44.74 | 64.29 | 109.02 |
10 | Stoke | 29.82 | 75.90 | 105.73 |
8 | Man United | 32.94 | 71.01 | 103.96 |
5 | Everton | 28.87 | 74.19 | 103.06 |
15 | Cardiff | 27.66 | 74.23 | 101.89 |
12 | Hull | 29.79 | 71.43 | 101.22 |
16 | West Brom | 30.51 | 70.13 | 100.64 |
4 | Chelsea | 32.65 | 67.86 | 100.51 |
17 | West Ham | 26.42 | 72.50 | 98.92 |
6 | Newcastle | 28.24 | 70.67 | 98.90 |
19 | Fulham | 28.81 | 68.22 | 97.04 |
9 | Southampton | 27.85 | 67.86 | 95.71 |
13 | Aston Villa | 26.56 | 68.06 | 94.62 |
14 | Norwich | 24.19 | 70.41 | 94.60 |
11 | Swansea | 28.05 | 65.15 | 93.20 |
7 | Tottenham | 18.75 | 68.49 | 87.24 |
20 | Sunderland | 25.53 | 61.54 | 87.07 |
8 | Palace | 19.64 | 63.51 | 83.16 |
Shots On Target Rating
SoT % For = SoT For/Shots For
SoT% Prevention = 100-SoT Against/Shots Against
SoT Rating = Sot% For+ SoT% Against
This chart is all about attacking efficiency and defensive efficiency in regards to actually getting your shots in target and preventing the opposition from doing likewise.
SoT% prevention appears to favour those teams who get fucking buried by the shots count: Hull, Sunderland and Villa are the best 3 teams in the league by SoT% Prevention.
Anyhow, sort through and play around with it.
SoT% Rating | SoT % For | SoT% Prevention | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Arsenal | 107.7 | 42.48 | 65.22 |
5 | Everton | 107.04 | 38.04 | 69 |
3 | Man City | 105.25 | 38.38 | 66.86 |
11 | Swansea | 105.21 | 36.94 | 68.27 |
9 | Southampton | 103.81 | 35.27 | 68.54 |
1 | Liverpool | 102.92 | 37.62 | 65.3 |
8 | Man United | 102.6 | 37.44 | 65.15 |
4 | Chelsea | 102.45 | 34.27 | 68.18 |
19 | Fulham | 101.48 | 34.3 | 67.18 |
13 | Aston Villa | 98.86 | 29.63 | 69.23 |
6 | Newcastle | 98.39 | 33.6 | 64.79 |
8 | Palace | 96.16 | 29.95 | 66.21 |
12 | Hull | 95.76 | 25.54 | 70.21 |
14 | Norwich | 95.59 | 29.38 | 66.21 |
10 | Stoke | 95.27 | 30 | 65.27 |
15 | Cardiff | 95.01 | 26.7 | 68.3 |
20 | Sunderland | 94.61 | 23.5 | 71.11 |
17 | West Ham | 94.36 | 26.11 | 68.25 |
7 | Tottenham | 93.32 | 32.99 | 60.33 |
16 | West Brom | 91.59 | 27.57 | 64.02 |
*****
Man City are in a pretty good spot right now; The shots ratios are excellent, attacking efficiency is really good and in most of the other statistical categories I look at (and don't publish) they are tops. Fix the save% and some of those defensive errors and this is the dominant team in the Premier League.
This is what happiness and contentment sound like.