TSR (Total Shots Ratio) Otherwise known as Corsi in hockey. This looks at a teams share of the total (missed/blocked/on target) shots count.   shots for / total shots (shots f + shots a)

SoTR (shots On Target Ratio) This looks at a teams share of the shots on target count. shots on target f / total shots on target

Fenwick/Unblocked Shots Ratio This looks at a teams share of the shots count with all blocked shots removed. missed shots f + shots on target f / total missed shots + total shots on target

PDO Scoring% (goals/shots on target) + Save % (100-goals against/shots on target against)

Week 13 (Sortable Tables)

All tables set to Close Game State.

TSR

A tiered top 3 who all achieve >60% at 'close', then the rest of the league falls off pretty rapidly. Fulham, somehow, slide ever further into the red.

Man United and Liverpool are bang average teams in terms of their shots share. I'm surprised by Liverpool (although not at 'tied'), not so much Man United.

Pos	TSR/Corsi	Tied	Close	Total
3	Man City	64.8	67.93	65.6
9	Tottenham	67.39	65.71	64.51
2	Chelsea	60.25	61.22	61.94
1	Arsenal	65.35	58.11	53.87
5	Everton	58.45	57.84	58.26
7	Southampton	54.62	55.98	56.62
6	Newcastle	65.56	55.63	53.32
8	Man United	49.57	52.73	52.22
4	Liverpool	58.65	51.25	52.16
13	Swansea	49.67	51.16	53.03
15	West Ham	49.74	51.02	50
11	Aston Villa	47.19	50.17	50.91
10	Hull	40.24	46.23	45.32
12	West Brom	42.77	45.49	45.94
14	Norwich	47.37	44.92	42.98
16	Stoke	46.91	44.64	43.13
20	Palace	42.74	43.55	45.72
19	Sunderland	44.34	37.17	40.18
17	Cardiff	31.08	35.33	36.29
18	Fulham	26.55	28.07	29.04

SoTR

City improve by the week. Tottenham remain are really good shots on target team. Everton rise a few places following successive games in which they destroyed their opponents by the shots on target count.

Sunderland are as bad as Man City are good.

Pos	SoTR	Tied	Close	Total
3	Man City	68.18	68.18	67.97
9	Tottenham	69.23	64.6	63.57
5	Everton	63.08	63.92	63.11
2	Chelsea	58.18	61.39	63.79
1	Arsenal	73.53	60.55	56.92
7	Southampton	61.36	56.52	58
6	Newcastle	68.75	55.77	53.13
8	Man United	50	55.21	53.04
13	Swansea	50.88	53.47	57.5
4	Liverpool	55.77	50.44	53.47
11	Aston Villa	46.15	49.44	51.04
14	Norwich	47.06	46.24	41.96
15	West Ham	45.1	45.88	46.39
16	Stoke	44.83	44.9	41.74
12	West Brom	37.04	40.23	39.42
10	Hull	37.5	40	39.56
20	Palace	41.46	39.74	38.95
17	Cardiff	26.76	31.53	31.36
18	Fulham	27.45	31.46	31.93
19	Sunderland	32.26	30	32.97

Fenwick/USR

If we remove blocked shots, which are weird and may or may not be a skill, then the table alters slightly. Man City have a slighty worse share of the shots when looking at Fenwick. Chelsea and Arsenal look pretty good.

Newcastle, who are up to 6th in the league table, show pretty well here too.

Pos	Fenwick	Tied	Close	Total
3	Man City	60.2	65.08	61.54
9	Tottenham	65.94	64.88	63.37
2	Chelsea	57.6	60.17	61.8
1	Arsenal	63.89	56.93	53.06
6	Newcastle	66.96	56.67	53.45
5	Everton	55.13	56.22	57.37
7	Southampton	53.93	53.81	54.59
8	Man United	50.59	53.03	52.19
4	Liverpool	57.69	50.91	53.26
11	Aston Villa	47.73	50.45	50.6
15	West Ham	47.62	49.77	50.2
13	Swansea	48.72	49.49	52.99
16	Stoke	48.8	46.4	44.67
14	Norwich	49.54	46.36	44.75
12	West Brom	42.61	45.26	45.06
10	Hull	41.44	45	43.36
20	Palace	43.33	44.77	45.37
17	Cardiff	33.53	36.14	37.36
19	Sunderland	46.97	32.84	37.61
18	Fulham	26.23	29.35	29.7

PDO

I have talked a lot in recent weeks about save% and how it regresses given time and nearly every team has seen their individual save percentage regress toward the mean in recent weeks, except for one team. Arsenal.

Arsenal have not only held their extremely high save% but they actually improved that save% this week. Arsenal, you're next. That save% is coming down.

Pos	Team	SC%	SAVE%	PDO
1	Arsenal	35.53	81.82	117.34
3	Man City	42.7	70	112.7
12	West Brom	36.59	74.6	111.19
4	Liverpool	32.47	76.47	108.94
15	West Ham	34.29	73.58	107.87
2	Chelsea	31.58	74.42	106
17	Cardiff	30.56	75.31	105.86
10	Hull	33.33	71.43	104.76
7	Southampton	27.59	76.19	103.78
8	Man United	33.87	68.52	102.39
16	Stoke	25	74.24	99.24
6	Newcastle	27.94	70	97.94
5	Everton	26.32	71.11	97.43
18	Fulham	30.56	66.2	96.75
11	Aston Villa	26.53	70.21	96.74
14	Norwich	23.4	66.18	89.58
13	Swansea	24.29	63.46	87.75
19	Sunderland	26.67	60.66	87.32
9	Tottenham	13.25	70.83	84.09
20	Palace	18.92	61.4	80.32

Time

A simple premise: each teams average number of minutes per game spent in a winning/drawing/losing position. I sorted this table by losing minutes, you can play around and see which teams reside where in each category.

If we are looking for a stat that has the strongest relationship with goal difference then 'time spent winning' is that stat with an r2 of 0.678. Year to year predictability currently sits at 0.349 and should improve significantly by the seasons end.

Man United's W/D/L numbers couldn't look more different from last seasons superior version of Man United.

		Win	Draw	Lose
1	Arsenal	49.4	31.9	8.7
3	Man City	43.8	37.5	8.7
5	Everton	21.7	57.6	11.5
4	Liverpool	44.3	32.1	13.6
2	Chelsea	30.3	43.5	16.2
6	Newcastle	32.5	38.9	18.5
15	West Ham	15.8	54.8	19.4
9	Tottenham	20.5	49.7	19.8
10	Hull	20.4	48.8	20.8
12	West Brom	19.8	48.7	21.5
16	Stoke	20.4	48.2	22.2
7	Southampton	27.7	38.6	23.7
8	Man United	31.5	34.3	24.2
17	Cardiff	7.4	57.8	24.8
11	Aston Villa	9.1	52.2	28.8
13	Swansea	16.4	43.2	30.5
18	Fulham	12.5	43.4	34.2
19	Sunderland	20.2	32.7	37.2
14	Norwich	12.8	37.1	40.1
20	Palace	8.8	40.8	40.5