TSR (Total Shots Ratio) Otherwise known as Corsi in hockey. This looks at a teams share of the total (missed/blocked/on target) shots count.   shots for / total shots (shots f + shots a)

SoTR (shots On Target Ratio) This looks at a teams share of the shots on target count. shots on target f / total shots on target

Fenwick/Unblocked Shots Ratio This looks at a teams share of the shots count with all blocked shots removed. missed shots f + shots on target f / total missed shots + total shots on target

PDO Scoring% (goals/shots on target) + Save % (100-goals against/shots on target against)

Week 16 (Sortable Tables)

All tables set to Close Game State.

TSR

City are out on their own these days. Tottenham, managerless and in apparent crisis, are in second place. There's a huge drop between the top 3 and 4th place.

Pos	TSR/Corsi	Tied	Close	Total
4	Man City	65.33	66.67	64.07
7	Tottenham	65.24	63.13	61.64
3	Chelsea	61.03	61.48	61.76
1	Arsenal	61.07	56.79	53.03
6	Newcastle	64.14	56.68	54.05
5	Everton	56.47	56.53	56.31
9	Southampton	51.85	56.08	56.35
2	Liverpool	61.82	54.03	56.91
8	Man United	50.59	52.7	51.5
10	Swansea	48.5	49.39	51.86
17	West Ham	46.22	48.78	46.28
16	West Brom	42.54	48.34	49.02
11	Aston Villa	46.12	47.23	47.64
12	Hull	42.65	45.2	44.61
13	Stoke	47.19	45.11	44.17
18	Palace	42.14	44.98	46.35
14	Norwich	46.7	43.8	42.09
20	Sunderland	46.43	38.79	41.42
15	Cardiff	34.32	36.32	37.3
19	Fulham	30.28	32.13	34.12

SoTR

Ole! City are taking a near 70% share of the shots on target at tied, close and Total game state.

Liverpool are 9th at Close. Make of that what you will.

Pos	SoTR	Tied	Close	Total
4	Man City	70	67.65	67.1
3	Chelsea	60.61	62.02	63.51
5	Everton	58.82	60.8	60.67
1	Arsenal	68.89	60	58.02
7	Tottenham	63.64	59.71	57.76
9	Southampton	55.93	57.14	58.27
8	Man United	51.39	55.46	53.1
6	Newcastle	64.62	55.2	52.67
2	Liverpool	56.9	54.33	59.44
10	Swansea	50	52.59	56.83
11	Aston Villa	46.97	45.95	46.15
16	West Brom	35	44.44	43.08
18	Palace	40	43.56	43.33
14	Norwich	48.28	43.48	37.75
13	Stoke	43.24	43.22	41.04
17	West Ham	41.54	41.9	41.94
12	Hull	41.38	40.21	39.64
19	Fulham	32.81	35.4	35.76
20	Sunderland	43.18	34.62	37.07
15	Cardiff	31.71	33.6	32.84

Fenwick

Things change a little once we remove blocked shots.

The bottom 3 are adrift of the pack.

Pos	Fenwick	Tied	Close	Total
4	Man City	61.16	64.53	60.52
7	Tottenham	63.53	61.72	59.77
3	Chelsea	60.13	61.2	62.24
6	Newcastle	66.44	57.69	54.12
1	Arsenal	59.79	55.82	52.88
5	Everton	53.96	54.74	55.73
2	Liverpool	60	53.54	57.1
9	Southampton	50.41	53.49	54.14
8	Man United	50.79	52.67	51.45
10	Swansea	48	48.77	52.48
11	Aston Villa	47.68	48.39	48.22
16	West Brom	41.54	48.1	47.97
17	West Ham	45.65	47.78	46.93
13	Stoke	50.86	47.67	46.18
18	Palace	42.72	47.09	47.31
14	Norwich	50	45.59	43.71
12	Hull	42.03	42.86	41.67
15	Cardiff	35.18	36.03	37.54
20	Sunderland	45.05	34.7	38.41
19	Fulham	28.86	32.79	34.72

PDO

Arsenal's save% was wrecked, as predicted. Man City's scoring% has sustained, but I guess it doesn't sustain for much longer. City's scoring% is simply to high right now. It's gonna come back down.

Tottenham's PDO is just crazy low. I'm not sure I have seen much like it before. Tottenham's save% has crashed and the scoring% has remained stubbornly sub-par. I guess Sherwood is the beneficiary of some nice regression and Levy does something stupid like hire him full time after Tottenham clinch 4th on the back of a PDO regression spike.

Just a guess, you know.

The bottom 3 by PDO have all changed managers. Norwich (16th by PDO) might not be too far away from replacing their manager. #PDOkillscoaches

Pos	Team	SC%	SAVE%	PDO
2	Liverpool	36.45	75.34	111.79
1	Arsenal	35.11	75	110.11
4	Man City	45.19	64.71	109.9
8	Man United	31.17	72.06	103.23
13	Stoke	27.27	75.95	103.22
5	Everton	28.57	74.58	103.15
15	Cardiff	27.27	75.56	102.83
12	Hull	29.55	71.64	101.19
3	Chelsea	34.04	66.67	100.71
16	West Brom	30.36	70.27	100.63
9	Southampton	27.03	71.7	98.73
17	West Ham	25	73.61	98.61
	Fulham	27.78	69.07	96.85
11	Aston Villa	26.67	70	96.67
6	Newcastle	26.58	69.01	95.6
14	Norwich	26.32	69.15	95.46
10	Swansea	27.85	65	92.85
20	Sunderland	27.91	58.9	86.81
19	Palace	21.15	64.71	85.86
7	Tottenham	16.13	69.12	85.25

Shots +/- Per90

Okay, shots rate +/- per 90 is actually a pretty simple stat for such a long title.

Take each team's shots +/- at each game state and convert that number into a per90 format by using each team's minute spent at each game state.

Is anything actually that surprising here? Errr Tottenham lead the league at Tied. Newcastle are in second place; Man City shred the league at all Close states; United are terrible.

Note how rare a feat it is for a team to outshoot it's opponents at +1. Conversely, only the very weakest of teams are outshot at -1.

	Minus 1	Tied	Plus 1
Tottenham	11.1	8.3	1.8
Newcastle	4.4	7.8	-2.7
Man City	27.0	7.2	4.5
Liverpool	0.6	7.1	-2.6
Chelsea	16.1	5.6	3.9
Arsenal	1.9	5.0	2.0
Everton	10.2	3.4	-0.8
Southampton	7.9	0.8	-1.2
Man Utd	3.5	0.3	1.0
Swansea	3.8	-0.8	-4.8
Stoke	-0.4	-1.4	-9.4
Sunderland	-6.8	-1.8	-13.6
Aston Villa	3.0	-1.9	-7.3
Norwich	-2.4	-1.9	-8.5
West Ham	-1.2	-1.9	7.1
Crystal Palace	-2.1	-3.3	0.0
West Brom	5.7	-3.4	-1.9
Hull	-1.0	-3.5	-0.6
Cardiff	-5.2	-8.4	-4.6
Fulham	-11.5	-11.5	-5.6

A song for the sacked.