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Week 12: Alternative Tables

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TSR (Total Shots Ratio) Otherwise known as Corsi in hockey. This looks at a teams share of the total (missed/blocked/on target) shots count.   shots for / total shots (shots f + shots a)

SoTR (shots On Target Ratio) This looks at a teams share of the shots on target count. shots on target f / total shots on target

Fenwick/Unblocked Shots Ratio This looks at a teams share of the shots count with all blocked shots removed. missed shots f + shots on target f / total missed shots + total shots on target

PDO Scoring% (goals/shots on target) + Save % (100-goals against/shots on target against)

Week 12 (Sortable Tables)



All tables set to Close Game State.

TSR

Fulham: Just so so poor. 25% shots share at tied, 28% at close and 29% at total. It's just hideously bad.

Man City are the best across all three game states. best at Close and Total.

Man United and Swansea are near exact matches in terms of TSR at tied and close.

Pos TSR/Corsi Tied Close Total
4 Man City 63.93 68.33 65.06
9 Tottenham 68.02 66.33 64.99
3 Chelsea 60.38 60.98 61.79
5 Southampton 54.7 58.12 58.48
1 Arsenal 63.16 58.09 53.36
7 Everton 56.52 56.2 56.03
8 Newcastle 66.19 56.18 53.58
6 Man United 50.49 53.36 52.68
10 Swansea 50.67 52.07 55.52
2 Liverpool 61.02 51.74 52.72
12 Aston Villa 44.94 49.1 50
17 West Ham 48.31 48.87 47.87
14 Stoke 50 46.38 45.58
13 Hull 38.26 45.59 44.52
16 Norwich 46.21 45.04 42.94
11 West Brom 42.86 44.96 45.55
19 Palace 43.59 42.22 44.84
20 Sunderland 46.51 37.32 40.5
15 Cardiff 31.94 34.84 36.01
18 Fulham 25.63 28.02 28.92

SoTR

Man City have a big lead over any other team in the league by close and total SoTR. Arsenal are killing it at tied but the sample is tiny (33 total shots on target, only Sunderland have seen fewer shots on target at tied with 26).

Just how good are Southampton and/or Pochettino's systems?

Pos SoTR Tied Close Total
4 Man City 67.44 69.23 68.38
9 Tottenham 68.85 65.09 63.93
7 Everton 61.67 62.64 60
1 Arsenal 72.73 61 56.67
5 Southampton 61.9 60.71 61.96
3 Chelsea 58.49 59.14 62.04
6 Man United 52.17 56.18 53.7
10 Swansea 53.7 54.95 59.63
8 Newcastle 66.67 53.13 50.83
2 Liverpool 56.52 50.48 53.68
12 Aston Villa 42.55 47.62 49.45
16 Norwich 45.83 45.98 41.51
14 Stoke 46.15 45.74 44.9
11 West Brom 39.22 43.04 41.67
17 West Ham 40.43 39.47 39.53
13 Hull 35.71 38.89 38.55
19 Palace 42.11 38.89 38.2
18 Fulham 29.79 35 35.19
20 Sunderland 34.62 30.67 33.72
15 Cardiff 27.14 30.39 30.56

Fenwick/USR

Blocked shots for and against are removed from the shots count and below are the results.

Man City's tied and total numbers drop significantly once blocked shots (opponents blocking City's shots) are removed.

In all three table featured so far Fulham, Sunderland and Cardiff are in the bottom three.

Pos Fenwick Tied Close Total
4 Man City 58.95 65.32 60.98
9 Tottenham 66.15 65.22 63.6
3 Chelsea 57.72 58.99 60.89
1 Arsenal 62.32 57.3 52.86
8 Newcastle 67.29 56.82 53.33
5 Southampton 54.02 56.74 57.14
7 Everton 53.06 54.59 55.17
6 Man United 51.95 53.76 52.72
2 Liverpool 60.22 51.71 54.18
10 Swansea 50 50.56 55.36
12 Aston Villa 45.22 49.28 49.57
14 Stoke 51.72 48.11 47.11
17 West Ham 45.19 46.46 46.88
16 Norwich 48.08 45.67 44.08
11 West Brom 42.99 45.29 45.07
19 Palace 44.71 45 45.59
13 Hull 39 43.78 41.9
15 Cardiff 34.15 35.34 36.84
20 Sunderland 51.02 32.61 37.79
18 Fulham 26.36 30.56 30.71

PDO

Slowly but surely we are seeing teams' PDO regressing toward the mean. Arsenal and Liverpool's PDO remains high due to their high save % numbers. Cardiff's PDO is keeping them alive. Man City's scoring% is unsustainable.

Spurs & Southampton's save percentages have been wrecked from the ridiculous heights of, say, week 10. Arsenal and Liverpool's save percentages likely* regress too.

*Likely is a polite way of saying "that save% is probably going to fucking crash!"

Pos Team SC% SAVE% PDO
1 Arsenal 34.29 80.39 114.68
2 Liverpool 32.88 79.69 112.56
15 Cardiff 34.38 77.33 111.71
11 West Brom 35 75 110
4 Man City 42.68 66.67 109.35
3 Chelsea 30.43 76.19 106.63
19 Southampton 26.32 80 106.32
6 Man United 32.2 70 102.2
18 Fulham 30.56 70.42 100.98
5 Stoke 26.67 74.07 100.74
17 West Ham 25.71 73.58 99.3
13 Hull 28.13 71.15 99.28
8 Newcastle 27.87 71.19 99.06
12 Aston Villa 28.89 69.57 98.45
7 Everton 26.56 69.05 95.61
10 Swansea 25.76 64.44 90.2
16 Norwich 22.73 64.62 87.34
14 Sunderland 27.59 57.89 85.48
9 Tottenham 11.39 73.33 84.73
20 Palace 20.59 61.11 81.7

Shots On Target Rating

This table shows us how efficient teams are at getting shots on target and preventing the opposition from doing the same.

SoT For%= shots on target for/shots for.

SoT Prevention%=100-shots on target against/shots against.

SoT Rating=SoT For% + SoT Prevention%.

These numbers do vary somewhat from, say, the first 19 games to the second 19 games of any given season. Conversely they also capture some of a teams systems and how efficient they are in with all things shots on target.

So, Arsenal's shots on target for% is either a pretty good imitation of Barcelona or there may be an element of regression to come. Either way, it's a mighty impressive number so far, I'm just not sold that Arsenal can sustain that number.

Fulham's Rating number is a pretty big help considering that they are being butchered in the TSR count.

Tottenham are posting excelling ratio numbers in both TSR and SoTR but here in SoT Rating we can see that they are subpar and it's the defense that is dragging them down. Tottenham's SoT Prevention% is 5% points below the average of 66.8%.

Cradiff are dreadful by nearly every stat and this category is no different. Yelp

SoT% Rating SoT % For SoT% Prevention
1 Arsenal 107.81 43.48 64.34
7 Everton 107.21 37.65 69.57
18 Fulham 107.03 37.11 69.92
4 Man City 106.21 39.23 66.97
10 Swansea 105.45 39.29 66.17
19 Southampton 105.19 35.63 69.57
6 Man United 102.38 37.34 65.03
3 Chelsea 100.78 33.33 67.44
2 Liverpool 100.48 39.04 61.45
12 Aston Villa 99.92 28.85 71.07
5 Stoke 99.31 32.85 66.46
9 Tottenham 97.94 36.07 61.86
8 Newcastle 96.42 32.62 63.8
16 Norwich 95.85 29.53 66.32
11 West Brom 94.63 29.63 65
20 Palace 93.02 26.98 66.04
13 Hull 92.77 23.36 69.41
14 Sunderland 92.13 21.97 70.16
15 Cardiff 91.72 26.45 65.28
17 West Ham 90.85 23.97 66.88