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Euro 2012: Group D Scoring Chance Index through two games

We are now through two of the three Group D games with England and France in the driving seat in terms of qualifying for the knock-out stages.

One thing I have done during the tournament is to measure the Scoring Chance Index in all of the games in Group D. For those that follow the blog regularly you will be familiar with what we here have coined ‘Scoring Chance Index' (or ‘SCI'): essentially a model we have developed to try and better understand and measure scoring chances in football. A full breakdown of SCI can be found at this introductory post.

A few observations:

  • What is noticeable is the trio of Karim Benzema, Franck Ribery and Samir Nasri have outperformed all others and their team numbers outperform all others.
  • For Sweden - heading out of the tournament of course - Olof Mellberg scores highly (particularly from an attacking sense), but Zlatan Ibrahimovic leads the way having been involved in eight scoring chances.
  • Whilst Andriy Shevchenko has a high scoring chance per 100 touches with 8.47, he has received little support and this certainly cost them against France.
  • England don't have a player who really stands out, with Steven Gerrard's five scoring chances their highest number. If they continue to be unable to stop the opposition from scoring these figures need to be higher if they are to progress deep into the tournament.
  • Contrast the numbers of all the goalkeepers in comparison to Hugo Lloris. Whilst Lloris has posted a low number (having rarely been called upon) the other goalkeepers in the group score highly, which indicates the defences are conceding plenty of scoring chances.

The full breakdown of individual numbers are as follows (click the image to enlarge):


I'll next the Scoring Chance Index following the final round of games.