Week 24: Sortable Tables

Total Shots Ratio) Otherwise known as Corsi in hockey. This looks at a teams share of the total (missed/blocked/on target) shots count. shots for / total shots (shots f + shots a)

SoTR (shots On Target Ratio) This looks at a teams share of the shots on target count. shots on target f / total shots on target

Fenwick/Unblocked Shots Ratio This looks at a teams share of the shots count with all blocked shots removed. missed shots f + shots on target f / total missed shots + total shots on target

PDO Scoring% (goals/shots on target) + Save % (100-goals against/shots on target against)

Zone Time Minutes spent in each zone (attacking, middle, defensive) per game.

Time Total number of minutes spent winning/drawing/losing

Week 24 (Sortable Tables)



All tables set to Close Game State.

TSR

This is each teams share of the shots count. Tied tells us about a teams share of the shots when the score is tied. Close is when the score is tied or within a single goal. Total is all game situations (0-0's or 5-1's etc).

Man City are the best team across the board and this is unlikely to change form now until the seasons end.

Cardiff and Fulham are adrift. Again, this is unlikely to change before seasons end.

The relationship between the two numbers - TSR/shots share% and points won - are as follows:

Tied 0.836

Close 0.82

Total 0.76

The closer the number (r2) is towards 1 the better the *relationship between the two stats.

Pos TSR/Corsi Tied Close Total
2 Man City 66.81 65.42 63.78
3 Chelsea 64.51 62.31 62.27
6 Tottenham 63.25 61.2 58.93
1 Arsenal 63.02 58.93 55.12
9 Southampton 53.82 58.18 58.01
5 Everton 56.32 57.24 57.14
8 Newcastle 61 56.35 56.03
4 Liverpool 61.07 54.22 55.7
7 Man United 50.59 53.15 53.38
12 Swansea 47.87 49.29 51.69
16 West Brom 42.33 48.5 48.76
15 Norwich 47.97 45.99 44.57
10 Aston Villa 44.55 45.54 46.61
17 Palace 41.9 44.79 46.63
13 Hull 43.37 44.16 44.64
11 Stoke 46.98 43.63 42.52
14 Sunderland 49.59 42.11 42.88
18 West Ham 37.14 40.52 38.84
20 Fulham 35.82 37.07 38.67
19 Cardiff 33.53 35.84 36.59

SoTR

Chelsea edge out Man City in this table which shows each teams share of the shots on target.

Cardiff and West Ham are terrible.

The relationship between the two numbers - SoTR/shots on target share% and points won - are as follows:

Tied 0.88

Close 0.87

Total 0.82

The closer the number (r2) is towards 1 the better the *relationship between the two stats.

Pos SoTR Tied Close Total
3 Chelsea 66.99 65.08 65.88
2 Man City 66.67 63.37 63.37
1 Arsenal 64.77 60.94 58.01
5 Everton 56.78 58.76 59.03
4 Liverpool 62.79 58.2 60.47
6 Tottenham 61.39 57.67 54.67
9 Southampton 52.75 57.39 58.64
7 Man United 52 55.56 54.5
8 Newcastle 59.14 54.14 55.02
16 West Brom 39.58 47.13 45.69
12 Swansea 43 46.75 51.01
15 Norwich 49.51 46.29 42.65
17 Palace 41.76 46.25 44.68
10 Aston Villa 46.46 46.15 46.91
13 Hull 44.19 42.86 43.86
11 Stoke 43.88 40.22 39.05
20 Fulham 39.83 39.15 39.02
14 Sunderland 47.14 39.11 39.81
18 West Ham 37.74 36.61 36.59
19 Cardiff 30.48 35.33 34.88

Fenwick

Fenwick is the name for the share of the shots count but with blocked shots removed. It is a wonderful stat for hockey, but doesn't have quite the same explanatory or predictive power in football. Still, it's interesting to see how teams fare by a shots count which removes blocks for and against.

The relationship between the two numbers - TSR/shots share% and points won - are as follows:

Tied 0.76

Close 0.77

Total 0.75

The closer the number (r2) is towards 1 the better the *relationship between the two stats.

Pos Fenwick Tied Close Total
2 Man City 62.5 63.09 61
3 Chelsea 64.02 62.08 62.42
6 Tottenham 60.5 59.11 56.16
1 Arsenal 62.56 57.48 54.21
8 Newcastle 62.11 57.11 55.38
5 Everton 53.31 55.53 55.49
9 Southampton 51.85 55.53 55.5
4 Liverpool 59.34 54.43 57.09
7 Man United 50.54 53.22 53.46
16 West Brom 46.54 51.68 50.9
12 Swansea 47.41 48 50.96
10 Aston Villa 46.43 47.3 47.62
17 Palace 43.09 47.22 47.83
15 Norwich 49.39 45.98 45.04
11 Stoke 50 45.6 44.07
13 Hull 44.29 43.62 43.46
18 West Ham 38.66 42.06 41.7
14 Sunderland 49.44 38.86 41.18
20 Fulham 34 37.44 38.81
19 Cardiff 32.81 35.7 36.4

PDO

If Callum Hamilton can understand this stat, then so can you!

PDO is simply the addition of a teams scoring% and save%. This stat tells us a little about how well each team converts its shots on target and prevents the opposition from converting its shots on target. This stat regresses heavily toward the mean and is widely regarding as a proxy for luck.

Pos Team SC% SAVE% PDO
1 Arsenal 34.31 78.35 112.66
10 Aston Villa 29.67 66.99 96.66
19 Cardiff 25.33 70.92 96.26
3 Chelsea 31.21 72.22 103.43
17 Palace 17.65 67.96 85.61
5 Everton 27.82 73.12 100.94
20 Fulham 23.4 65.13 88.54
13 Hull 30.67 69.07 99.74
4 Liverpool 37.18 71.57 108.75
2 Man City 43.59 69.32 112.91
7 Man United 33.62 70.1 103.72
8 Newcastle 25.4 69.61 95
15 Norwich 21.35 70.4 91.75
9 Southampton 30.36 66.25 96.61
11 Stoke 29.27 70.08 99.35
14 Sunderland 29.41 71.65 101.07
12 Swansea 28.43 65 93.43
6 Tottenham 25.2 68.93 94.14
16 West Brom 31.11 68.22 99.34
18 West Ham 31.17 74.81 105.98

Time Spent Winning/Drawing/Losing

This is the total number of minutes each team has spent at each game state. These numbers are per 90 minutes, ie, I do not include injury time. I probably should but it makes things a hella lot more difficult for me to process.

Man City and Liverpool post excellent "win" numbers, but it's likely that those totals will fall off a little between now and seasons end. SImple regression and a n understanding that is nearly impossible to spend ~50 minutes per game in a winning position.

Swansea post some pretty numbers in this chart.

Team Win Draw Loss
Man City 1171 811 188
Liverpool 1103 751 306
Arsenal 915 995 250
Chelsea 857 1081 232
Man United 732 881 547
Newcastle 671 990 499
Southampton 612 981 567
Tottenham 552 1120 488
Everton 547 1256 367
Sunderland 541 831 788
Hull 494 1119 547
Stoke 407 1155 608
West Ham 403 1208 549
Aston Villa 370 1154 636
Palace 361 1028 771
Swansea 337 1051 772
Norwich 316 1071 773
West Brom 300 1165 695
Fulham 270 1069 821
Cardiff 244 1117 799

Zone Time

Some poor teams at the foot of this table, Liverpool post odd, conflicting numbers in the middle of this table and then there is Man City at the top of this table.

Man City have spent the most amount of minutes in a winning position of all the PL teams through week 24. Usually, when a team spends a lot of time winning we would expect that winning team to sit a little deeper, protect its one goal lead by tightening its defensive shape, cede possession and thus spend a little more time in its own defensive end.

Man City are not that prototypical team when winning. City spend a league low 21.5 minutes per game in their defensive end. And that is despite spending so many minutes leading. City control games, spend a lot of time in the oppositions third of the pitch and are able, whether winning or losing, to prevent the opposition from spending too much time in City's own defensive third.

O Zone Time N Zone Time D Zone Time
Man City 27.1 41.5 21.5
Chelsea 27.6 40.1 22.4
Tottenham 26.7 41 22.4
Man United 26.6 41 22.4
Arsenal 26.1 40.4 23.5
Swansea 23.6 42.8 23.7
Newcastle 24.5 41.6 24
Everton 27.7 38.1 24.2
West Brom 25.6 40.1 24.3
Southampton 25.1 40.4 24.6
Hull 23.9 40.8 25.4
Aston Villa 22.8 41.5 25.7
Liverpool 24.7 39.2 26.1
West Ham 25.4 38.4 26.2
Norwich 25.6 37.8 26.6
Sunderland 23.6 39.5 26.9
Stoke 22.5 40.7 26.9
Palace 23.9 39.1 27
Fulham 22.7 39.9 27.4
Cardiff 23.2 39.2 27.7
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