Week 9: Alternative PL Tables

Week 9. Crazy numbers.

TSR (Total Shots Ratio) Otherwise known as Corsi in hockey. This looks at a teams share of the total (missed/blocked/on target) shots count.   shots for / total shots (shots f + shots a)

SoTR (shots On Target Ratio) This looks at a teams share of the shots on target count. shots on target f / total shots on target

Fenwick/Unblocked Shots Ratio This looks at a teams share of the shots count with all blocked shots removed. missed shots f + shots on target f / total missed shots + total shots on target

PDO Scoring% (goals/shots on target) + Save % (100-goals against/shots on target against)

Week 9 (Sortable Tables)



All tables set to Close Game State.

TSR

Man, Fulham and Cardiff (bottom of the table) are really bad.

There's a separation between the top 9 and the rest when looking at Close GS.

Man United are being out-shot at tied GS. Which is not very good at all.

Pos TSR/Corsi Tied Close Total
7 Man City 63.06 67.05 63.13
4 Tottenham 71.43 65 64.63
2 Chelsea 62.4 62.39 62.3
11 Newcastle 64.1 60.4 56.57
5 Southampton 57.43 59.07 58.69
1 Arsenal 63.95 58.38 53.72
6 Everton 61.38 57.36 56.96
8 Man United 48.28 55.32 55.02
3 Liverpool 59.78 52.68 49.43
13 Aston Villa 44.55 48.87 48.71
9 Swansea 44.14 48.31 51.98
15 West Ham 43.51 48.06 48.23
18 Norwich 49.18 46.55 46.18
12 West Brom 43.55 45.11 47.47
17 Stoke 48.8 44.95 45.54
20 Palace 41.67 43.13 45.28
19 Sunderland 47.14 42.13 45.65
10 Hull 37.21 38.94 39.11
16 Cardiff 30.29 32.64 34.22
14 Fulham 26.4 27.75 28.51

SoTR

Again. we see that 9 team separation at Close GS, except that separation is more acute. Man City are a force at Close. Everton are pretty darn good too.

Fulham, Cardiff and Sunderland are halloween scary at the bottom of the table.

Pos SoTR Tied Close Total
7 Man City 64.86 68.18 66.67
6 Everton 73.17 66.67 62.34
4 Tottenham 73.47 63.16 63.86
5 Southampton 66.67 62.32 62.86
2 Chelsea 62.5 61.97 63.75
1 Arsenal 75 60.98 56.7
3 Liverpool 61.76 56.96 55.67
8 Man United 50 56.94 55.29
11 Newcastle 57.14 55.38 51.76
9 Swansea 48.84 54.29 59.3
18 Norwich 46.34 45.83 44.3
13 Aston Villa 39.39 45.31 45.45
17 Stoke 45.45 44.59 44.74
12 West Brom 40.48 42.11 43.28
15 West Ham 35.29 38.6 40.32
10 Hull 36.84 38.1 38.81
20 Palace 37.93 37.93 35.62
14 Fulham 29.73 33.85 35.44
19 Sunderland 31.82 30 33.33
16 Cardiff 27.12 29.63 29.89

Fenwick/USR

Remove blocked shots and the table alters ever so slightly.

Pos Fenwick Tied Close Total
7 Man City 58.14 64.49 60.45
4 Tottenham 69.44 64 63.35
2 Chelsea 61 60.8 62.69
11 Newcastle 63.74 60.25 55.56
5 Southampton 57.53 58.33 58.49
1 Arsenal 62.3 56.67 52.46
6 Everton 58.65 55.7 56.32
8 Man United 46.97 55.24 54.14
3 Liverpool 60 54.94 52.71
9 Swansea 46.07 48.55 53.67
13 Aston Villa 43.59 48.15 47.67
15 West Ham 42.31 47.74 48.52
17 Stoke 50.51 46.2 46.29
20 Palace 42.59 45.76 44.94
18 Norwich 49.44 45.61 45.36
12 West Brom 42.7 44.62 46.15
10 Hull 39.77 39.73 38.85
19 Sunderland 44.44 34.88 41.14
16 Cardiff 31.54 32.57 34.57
14 Fulham 26.44 29.53 30.11

PDO

Teams with the super high, unsustainable PDO's tend to be those with the high save percentages. Here's looking at you Arsenal, Liverpool and Southampton. If those save percentages regress (they should, given time) then the points dropped and the reasons for the downturn in form should be amusing to read.

At the bottom of this table we find Palace, Sunderland and Newcastle, teams who are all suffering from poor save percentages. As are Man City (60.7% save%) who, if they had have had league average save% would have conceded 7-8 goals which is 3 or 4 less than they have now.

Swap City's save% for Chelsea (similar Shots on target conceded) and City would have conceded just 5.5 goals or HALF the amount they have conceded. City need to fix the save% issue, although it will (positively) regress and thus the results will improve.

Pos Team SC% SAVE% PDO
16 Cardiff 34.78 78.69 113.47
3 Liverpool 31.48 81.82 113.3
1 Arsenal 35.09 78.05 113.14
5 Southampton 22.73 88.46 111.19
2 Chelsea 30.77 80 110.77
15 West Ham 30.77 78.38 109.15
14 Fulham 32.14 76.92 109.07
10 Hull 26.92 76.19 103.11
12 West Brom 27.59 75 102.59
4 Tottenham 16.67 83.33 100
8 Man United 29.17 68.42 97.59
7 Man City 36.21 60.71 96.92
13 Aston Villa 30 66.67 96.67
17 Stoke 17.65 76.74 94.39
6 Everton 28.57 65.52 94.09
9 Swansea 23.08 69.44 92.52
18 Norwich 17.14 71.74 88.88
11 Newcastle 27.27 60.98 88.25
19 Sunderland 30.43 54.35 84.78
20 Palace 23.08 58.7 81.77

Final Third Passes

Behold! The miracle..............

We have found something Manchester United are good at. United are posting a pretty nice final third possession % number right now. United are getting the upper hand in the territory battle, yet they don't have the skill/attacking scheme to turn the possession advantage into a noticeable shots advantage.

Bad Systems.

Pos Ratio Plus/Minus
4 Tottenham 63.08 590
7 Man City 60.01 494
8 Man United 59.63 483
6 Everton 57.86 386
1 Arsenal 56.49 341
2 Chelsea 56.47 318
3 Liverpool 54.83 241
9 Swansea 55.24 240
5 Southampton 54.95 222
11 Newcastle 47.78 -98
15 West Ham 47.39 -114
18 Norwich 46.36 -180
19 Sunderland 45.19 -218
17 Stoke 44.84 -237
12 West Brom 44.65 -248
13 Aston Villa 41.65 -373
14 Fulham 40.25 -419
16 Cardiff 40.4 -447
20 Palace 40.08 -476
10 Hull 38.82 -505
X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

Join Bitter and Blue

You must be a member of Bitter and Blue to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Bitter and Blue. You should read them.

Join Bitter and Blue

You must be a member of Bitter and Blue to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Bitter and Blue. You should read them.

Spinner

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9353_tracker